Listening to Lies

Examining The Polls and The Election Results | RealClearPolitics.

This is a typical analysis of the polls and the election outcome. It’s credible, but besides the point.

Democratic voters didn’t turn out because they didn’t have a reason to. Same thing with independent voters – they weren’t given a reason to break Democratic. Back in 08 and 12, they had “hope”, but in 2014 they still hadn’t seen any “change”.

In part, there has been change, but the Democrats didn’t run on their record. It would have meant they had to change minds with arguments and information instead of relying on previous strategies of “targeting”. Passive versus active.

In part, there hasn’t been change, because Obama is naturally cautious. This is probably a good thing overall – if you’re Jackie Robinson you are very, very careful. However, the Democrats needed to throw their coalition some “red meat”, particularly on immigration. Obama should have acted on immigration before the election. That would have brought out the Latino vote.

As it was, their reaction was either “why bother” or “let’s see what the Republicans can do”.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s